Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 10.054048 11.122133 12.267933 13.590533 15.077616 16.700787 18.610441
2025-09-28 8.277000 9.722886 11.383075 13.438596 15.926559 18.854680 22.582526
2025-10-05 7.287968 9.012074 11.111139 13.874641 17.446378 21.946594 28.108497
2025-10-12 6.517979 8.424421 10.866469 14.260047 18.910699 25.143668 34.270418
2025-10-19 5.804076 7.791736 10.451946 14.327431 19.920986 27.844647 40.178287
2025-10-26 5.171677 7.175000 9.960685 14.191485 20.586602 30.110030 45.786695
2025-11-02 4.639339 6.626353 9.484800 13.991222 21.094007 32.166539 51.363977
2025-11-09 4.187935 6.139201 9.033165 13.752537 21.481027 34.049024 56.922304
2025-11-16 3.822691 5.738834 8.661543 13.579572 21.926534 36.052321 62.978538
2025-11-23 3.529722 5.417821 8.374246 13.498029 22.494297 38.311181 69.842236
2025-11-30 3.353851 5.262591 8.330533 13.807643 23.760388 41.954510 79.941844
2025-12-07 3.118793 4.987980 8.061351 13.692267 24.238747 44.197190 87.634165
2025-12-14 2.872005 4.677471 7.711183 13.409706 24.399872 45.911922 94.683526
2025-12-21 2.679856 4.443398 7.470950 13.300709 24.878536 48.326205 103.747907
2025-12-28 2.592150 4.382528 7.528988 13.755000 26.527289 53.395264 119.953394
2026-01-04 2.502088 4.308968 7.555837 14.149941 28.106138 58.566866 137.582080
2026-01-11 2.376699 4.160311 7.429232 14.224134 29.014201 62.390446 152.695483
2026-01-18 2.237116 3.973911 7.214260 14.093346 29.455083 65.202409 165.784862
2026-01-25 2.102375 3.786081 6.980180 13.896854 29.720980 67.636106 178.405189
2026-02-01 1.975035 3.602836 6.739741 13.661187 29.865055 69.791330 190.748465
2026-02-08 1.865267 3.445711 6.538600 13.490174 30.139786 72.323486 204.866997
2026-02-15 1.773425 3.317300 6.385306 13.409597 30.623443 75.483848 221.784622
2026-02-22 1.725516 3.273222 6.402234 13.717104 32.115079 81.629775 250.188725